Conf = PSAC State = PA
Nickname = Golden Bears Coach = Kristen NicholsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.3675079 home-field advantage = -0.76 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Shepherd PSAC ( 4-12, 87.6) 15- 7 228 H Bentley Northeast 10 (10- 6, 91.1) 16-11 303 H Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 87.9) 16- 2 307 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 8- 9, 88.9) 16- 7 310 H New Haven Northeast 10 (13- 6, 94.6) 13- 7 313 A Flagler Gulf South (12- 6, 95.0) 10-11 316 A St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 95.7) 5-13 319 H East Stroudsburg PSAC (15- 6, 94.8) 9-18 322 H Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 90.0) 14- 7 326 A West Chester PSAC (19- 1, 97.0) 13-14 329 H Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 91.6) 20-12 402 A Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 87.9) 18-10 409 H Shepherd PSAC ( 4-12, 87.6) 18- 6 412 A East Stroudsburg PSAC (15- 6, 94.8) 9-16 416 H West Chester PSAC (19- 1, 97.0) 13-18 419 A Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 90.0) 10-11 423 A Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 91.6) 4-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Shepherd 15- 7 8 5 1.95 228 H Bentley 16-11 5 3 1.99 303 H Bloomsburg 16- 2 14 6 0.82 307 H Southern New Hampshire 16- 7 9 5 1.74 310 H New Haven 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.49 313 A Flagler 10-11 -1 -2 1.38 316 A St Leo 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.91 319 H East Stroudsburg 9-18 -9 0 --- -6.29 322 H Shippensburg 14- 7 7 4 + 2.85 326 A West Chester 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.35 329 H Millersville 20-12 8 2 ++ 4.51 402 A Bloomsburg 18-10 8 4 + 2.34 409 H Shepherd 18- 6 12 6 0.43 412 A East Stroudsburg 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.77 416 H West Chester 13-18 -5 -2 - -2.17 419 A Shippensburg 10-11 -1 2 - -3.63 423 A Millersville 4-10 -6 0 --- -6.97UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H East Stroudsburg 9-18 -9 0 --- -6.29 423 A Millersville 4-10 -6 0 --- -6.97 412 A East Stroudsburg 9-16 -7 -2 -- -4.77 316 A St Leo 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.91 416 H West Chester 13-18 -5 -2 - -2.17 419 A Shippensburg 10-11 -1 2 - -3.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H New Haven 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.49 329 H Millersville 20-12 8 2 ++ 4.51 322 H Shippensburg 14- 7 7 4 + 2.85 326 A West Chester 13-14 -1 -4 + 3.35 402 A Bloomsburg 18-10 8 4 + 2.34
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.37 Power Rank................. 17 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.27 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6769 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .5744 RPI Rank................... 25 Champ. Probability ...... 2.5 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 80 Selection Rank ............ 23 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 30 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 36 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0